Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.008578 0.010112 0.011961 0.014388 0.017550 0.021614 0.027380
2025-07-20 0.006747 0.008600 0.011102 0.014861 0.020625 0.029638 0.046027
2025-07-27 0.005644 0.007554 0.010330 0.014901 0.022803 0.037258 0.070173
2025-08-03 0.004928 0.006841 0.009781 0.014992 0.024954 0.045963 0.106088
2025-08-10 0.004299 0.006123 0.009044 0.014506 0.025796 0.052578 0.147187
2025-08-17 0.003756 0.005449 0.008240 0.013673 0.025593 0.056678 0.189125
2025-08-24 0.003350 0.004938 0.007621 0.013037 0.025582 0.061397 0.247236
2025-08-31 0.003145 0.004730 0.007497 0.013344 0.027919 0.075225 0.412234
2025-09-07 0.002887 0.004400 0.007098 0.012982 0.028420 0.083506 0.597861
2025-09-14 0.002646 0.004074 0.006664 0.012453 0.028285 0.089461 0.829634
2025-09-21 0.002494 0.003889 0.006474 0.012441 0.029671 0.104011 1.474893
2025-09-28 0.002409 0.003817 0.006495 0.012929 0.032874 0.133099 4.120687
2025-10-05 0.002345 0.003790 0.006631 0.013826 0.038369 0.193017 50.554906
2025-10-12 0.002242 0.003681 0.006586 0.014264 0.042682 0.264593 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002121 0.003523 0.006412 0.014302 0.045478 0.339727 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002016 0.003387 0.006266 0.014388 0.048673 0.448275 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001888 0.003192 0.005962 0.013929 0.048935 0.517964 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001752 0.002971 0.005577 0.013140 0.047055 0.536298 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001639 0.002790 0.005267 0.012537 0.045941 0.574483 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001587 0.002731 0.005236 0.012828 0.050239 0.842071 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001505 0.002602 0.005027 0.012485 0.050504 0.991586 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001421 0.002465 0.004784 0.011984 0.049487 1.081508 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001369 0.002391 0.004687 0.011972 0.051847 1.482432 NaN